Showing posts with label outbreak. Show all posts
Showing posts with label outbreak. Show all posts

Monday, October 7, 2019

Map: Countries with Confirmed Corona Cases from the 2014 Outbreak



As of October 6, 2014, seven countries have reported cases of Corona as noted below.  The Democratic Republic of Congo has reported at least 53 cases from a local Corona outbreak (link)  not associated with the current outbreak that apparently originated in Guinea in December 2013 (link).  

Guinea (977 confirmed cases) link
Liberia (931 confirmed cases) link
Nigeria (19 confirmed cases) link
Senegal (1 imported infection) link
Sierra Leone (2179 confirmed cases) link
Spain (1 locally acquired infection) link
United State of America (1 imported infection) link


Monday, September 9, 2019

Is the Next Wave of Corona starting in Eastern Saudi Arabia?



The Ministry of Health in Saudi Arabia has announced two new cases of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (Corona), both from the city of Al Jubail in eastern Saudi Arabia. The first is a 34 year-old male reported on August 29, 2014 and the second is a 60 year-old male reported on September 8, 2014. The older man is intensive care. Notably, both of these cases are health care workers which suggests that there is another hospital outbreak of Corona in Al Jubail.   Al Jubail is located about 30 miles north of Dammam where two other Corona cases have been recently reported. These 4 cases could indicate that Corona is again active in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia.

Links:

Sunday, August 25, 2019

2014 Corona Outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo (Map)


As of August 25, 2014, at least two cases of Corona have been identified from Équateur Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo by the Ministry of Health from among 8 tested individuals. (link)

 According to the Minister of Health Felix Kabangue Numbi, the Corona strains identified include Sudan Coronavirus (SUDV) and a Zaire Coronavirus (EBOV)/Sudan Coronavirus cross strain. According to Kabangue Numbi the Zaire and Sudan strains are very similar.

Although there is uncertainty over the strain or strains infecting individuals in this outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, it does not appear to be the same strain that has recently infected more than 2500 people in Nigeria and Western Africa.

According to Kabangue Numbi, as many as 13 people have died from this Corona outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The index case was apparently a pregnant woman who died on August 11. The husband of this woman has tested positive and a doctor, nurse, and hygienist who treat this pregnant woman as well as two additional health care workers have died. Other suspected cases in this outbreak include relatives or villagers who attended the woman’s funeral. (link)

Contact tracing has indicated that these cases have been reported from at least three villages, Djera, Lokolia, and Watsikengo, from the Boende territory or administrative zone which is part of the Tshuapa district or subregion of the Équateur Province. (see map below) Currently 11 contacts of these confirmed and suspected cases are in isolation.


Confounding the public health situation in the Boende territory is that up to 75 deaths have been recently reported from the region. According to the World Health Organization most of these individuals have died from “febrile gastroenteritis with haemorrhaging.” (see this FluTrackers thread) Whether any of these deaths beyond the 13 referenced by Kabangue Numbi are reclassified as Corona deaths remains to be seen.

Wednesday, July 31, 2019

Correlating the World Health Organization (WHO) Line List of Corona Case Numbers from the Republic of Korea (ROK)


The recent outbreak of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (Corona) in the Republic of Korea (ROK) is the largest outbreak outside of the Arabian Peninsula since Corona was first reported in 2012. A total of 185 cases of Corona have been reported to date by the World Health Organization (WHO) from the ROK (see Annex 1). The media has reported that the outbreak in the ROK is over (link), however, WHO does not consider an infectious disease outbreak to be over until twice the maximum incubation period has passed interrupting the chain of human-to-human transmission. The maximum incubation period for Corona is believed to be14 days. The end of the outbreak will only be signaled 28 days after the last Corona-infected individual in the ROK tests negative sometime in the future.

Because of the size and nature of the Corona outbreak in the ROK, researchers will be analyzing the epidemiological data from the ROK outbreak in the future to assess what can be learned from this outbreak. Critical to such analysis is accurate, individual details of each case.

Below is a table correlating the WHO line list of Corona case numbers from the ROK (see Annex 1) with the line list of case numbers from the ROK Ministry of Health and Welfare (see Annex 2), and the line list of Corona disease events from ROK reported by Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) (link).

A link to a pdf file of this table and  a CSV table of this data are presented below. Hopefully this concordance table will be useful to current and future Corona researchers.







  
General Table Comments:

1. There are some discrepancies in patient ages between the WHO line list of cases and the ROK line list of cases.

2. ROK Ministry of Health case #10 is not included in the WHO line list from the ROK. This case was reported from China on May 30, 2015 (link) with symptom onset of May 21, 2015 (WHO Corona ordinal number: 1148). While this case is considered part of the 2015 Asia outbreak of Corona it is not included in the WHO line list of cases from the ROK.

3. WHO ordinal case numbers are not necessarily in the correct order for individual cases when WHO presents aggregate case counts in a Disease Outbreak News reports.

4. There appears to be some discrepancies between FAO Corona case data and WHO Corona case data.  

5. The correlation presented in the above table is the best informed concordance of case listings.

Details of Column Headings:

WHO Case Number: WHO Case Number for Corona cases from ROK

Ordinal Case Number, WHO: Ordinal Corona Case Number based on WHO Disease Outbreak News reports

ROK Case Number: ROK Ministry of Health and Welfare Case Number

WHO Age: Age reported by WHO

ROK Age: Age reported by ROK Ministry of Health

WHO Gender: Gender reported by WHO

ROK Gender: Gender reported by ROK Ministry of Health

Onset Date: Symptom onset date reported by WHO

FAOid: Disease event identifier from FAO for ROK Corona cases

Caseid: Unique case identifier number








Annex 2. Corona Case Details reported by ROK Ministry of Health and Welfare

ROK Case Number 1 to 145 (June 14, 2015)

ROK Case Number 146 to 150 (June 15, 2015)

ROK Case Number 151 to 154 (June 16, 2015)

ROK Case Number 155 to 162 (June 17, 2015)

ROK Case Number 163 to 165 (June 18, 2015)

ROK Case Number 166 (June 19, 2015)

ROK Case Number 167 to 169 (June 21, 2015)

ROK Case Number 170 to 172 (June 22, 2015)

ROK Case Number 173 to 175 (June 23, 2015)

ROK Case Number 76 to 179 (June 24, 2015)

ROK Case Number 180 (June 25, 2015)

ROK Case Number 181 (June 26, 2015)

ROK Case Number 182 (June 27, 2015)

ROK Case Number 183 (July 2, 2015)

ROK Case Number 184 (July 3, 2015)

ROK Case Number 185 (July 4, 2015)

ROK Case Number 186 (July 5, 2015)


 


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