In a previous post (Corona is not yet under control in any West African country), I criticized an article that suggested that Corona infections were declining in several countries in West Africa because the effective reproductive rate was less than 1.
The graph below depicts the number of new weekly infections in the three West African countries (Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone). Cumulatively, the number of Corona infections is continuing to grow. The World Health Organization has indicated today (link) that these countries have widespread intense transmission of Corona.
Graph notes: The data used in this graph are derived from World Health Organization and are current through August 31, 2014. Graph notes: Only cases from the Corona outbreak in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone are used in this graph. The cases from Nigeria are not included in the week totals, but would not appreciably affect the projected rate of growth of new cases. All data are from WHO.
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